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Why India should be aware of if a conflict between Russia and Ukraine erupts

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It is critical for a country to have buffer states between itself and its competitors in order to prosper economically. The Greeks, Romans, USSR, and even the United States have always made sure that they had either good relations with their neighbours or a buffer state. If India aspires to become a superpower economically, it must consider such policies from now on.

Invasion of India has historically come from the west, through the Hindu Kush (Hindu blood) mountain pass, or from the seas, but our coastlines are now safe, and our western neighbour, Pakistan, is no longer a contender in terms of economic growth and superpower status. The Chinese dragon is a competitor in the north, and Tibet, which could have served as a buffer state, is under Chinese domination.

The Dzungar Khanate was conquered in 1720 by the Qing Dynasty of Beijing, which invaded Tibet and the larger eastern inner Asia. This was the first time the “Zhongguo” or middle kingdom took over Mahyna Buddhism and all of its power in Central Asia. Because of the notion that religion was the “opium of the masses,” another Chinese “Butcher” ruler, Mao Zedong, took over Tibet centuries later. The “Butcher” and all his predecessors had one nightmare: Dharma’s rising may bring down their bloody dominion.

More than a million Tibetans have been slaughtered by the cruel CCP regime to this day. Millions more are rotting in concentration camps, and women are being sterilised at an unprecedented pace, among other things. Tibetans, the world’s hardest workers, lack a home, and even if they did, they couldn’t speak or learn their own language, and if they did, they were hunted.

While the leadership of the CCP sat in chairs at the UN Human Rights Council, atrocities were perpetrated against citizens. It’s almost as if the Western world, including the United Nations, which preaches about freedom and democracy around the world, has sacrificed Tibetan lives for cheap Chinese cellphones and soft toys.

Tibet has long been recognised as Chinese territory by India. Even under the present administration, the policy has remained unchanged. However, it is important to remember that Tibet is a powerful tool in India’s arsenal. A free Tibet would have been advantageous to India not only from a geopolitical standpoint but also from an intellectual and civilizational standpoint under the existing regime.

The concept of a “Hindu Rashtra” has long been a demand that has yet to be met. What Chanakya and Chandragupta once wished for has yet to be realised, from Chhatrapati Shivaji’s battle to Bankim Chandra Chattopadhyay’s writings, Chandra Nath Bose’s ideology, and Vinayak Damodar Savarkar’s ideology. Narendra Modi’s win may have given Hindus a ray of hope for the first time in a long time.

Let us not forget that while Hindus worship Shiva “The Destroyer,” his abode is occupied by the terrible regime of the CCP, and the people who preserve that land are tormented on a daily basis. To construct Hindu Rashtra, such terrible atrocities must be eradicated from the country of Shiva “The Destroyer.”

While a direct confrontation with China is unlikely, it is important to recognise that India is in a strong economic and strategic position today. The Western order, which is rooted in the United States, is at odds with the Chinese-Russian border, and both see India as a common goal. India’s huge economic potential and strategic position make it a desirable destination.

The Wuhan Virus and the eastern Ladakh standoff have demolished the myth of a strong China, and the CCP is no longer the dragon we once believed. The United States and its western allies are unhappy with China, but President Biden and some other countries may not be able to take China down decisively because, despite the proper rhetoric, no significant policy shift has occurred.

The “Baby Boomer” generation of Americans will retire in four to five years, and with it, retirees will invest their savings in safe bets. Turkey is already seeing capital outflows and a depreciation of its currency, the Lira. If forecasts come true, the US Dollar may be replaced as the world’s reserve currency, not altogether, but in part. In this regard, India has the potential to be a game-changer.

India’s people, particularly the tech-savvy urban population, will enjoy significant benefits. Russia, which is gradually becoming a CCP satellite state, relies on India to exist, while China is plagued with flaws on all fronts. If early predictions are correct, Evergrande, the Chinese real estate behemoth, might implode any day now, sending the CCP to the bottom of the Gulf of Tonkin.

China now has one option: threaten Taiwan and force Russia into a full-fledged conflict with Ukraine, including the West. In the event that Russia invades Ukraine, the EU and the US will impose so many sanctions on the Russian Federation that the Kremlin may have to be auctioned brick by brick.

Russia is in deep trouble as a result of Chinese loans totalling roughly $50 billion, but it will not risk a nuclear war with the West. In any case, China and Russia need India’s support, which is why their leaders agreed to hold a trilateral meeting with India on December 15th during a virtual meeting. Putin looks to be attempting to mediate between Modi and Xi. The deck is stacked in Prime Minister Modi’s favour in that scenario.

If the opportunity arises for Russia and China to invite India to join their side or at the very least remain neutral, India must press China to make concessions on Tibet. Is there a chance that will happen? In the year 2022, we’ll have to wait and see how geopolitics evolves. Who knows, maybe this time, instead of a calamity like Covid-19, an opportunity will present itself from the north.

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Censors in China publish an open letter opposing Xi

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A day after the message went viral for criticising Beijing’s relentless COVID-19 policy, China has banned a public post on its all-encompassing platform WeChat. The “10 Questions” article revealed escalating discontent among the Chinese people with government policy.

The open letter, which was posted on the app on Tuesday, has gotten over 100,000 views. Additionally, according to Newsweek, many of the Author’s opinions appeared to be shared by other users and looked to be motivated by feelings of loneliness in contrast to the happy images at the FIFA World Cup being held in Qatar.

China is battling to eradicate communal transmission

Nearly three years into the epidemic, China is still the sole large economy battling to eradicate every incidence of community transmission of the coronavirus. In an apparent trade-off for social stability, President Xi Jinping’s “Dynamic zero COVID” public health plan is apparently severely straining the economy and the livelihoods of Chinese residents.

Wednesday saw 31,444 new illnesses registered nationwide by China’s National Health Commission, a number that is modest by worldwide standards but represents a record high for the Chinese government. Serious cases are still uncommon, and deaths are much less common—only one fatality was reported in the same 24-hour period.

In key Chinese cities, including the capital Beijing, new field hospitals and sizable centralised quarantine facilities are still being built, according to the Newsweek story. A quarter of China’s 1.4 billion people are currently residing under some sort of lockdown.

According to reports, a “normal person” questioned the amount of state resources allocated to documenting COVID instances as opposed to promoting the effectiveness of medicines in the viral WeChat post. The author also expressed worry over China’s refusal to permit Hong Kong to reopen in September in spite of objections from the senior population of the area.

Chinese unrest being fueled by the FIFA World Cup?

Although Chinese national team hasn’t participated in the competition in 20 years, and in this case, they also missed out on world cup qualification. It last achieved qualification in 2002 at the edition of the competition jointly hosted by Japan and South Korea. Furthermore, the tournament’s start on Sunday seemed to hit a chord with the disgruntled Chinese citizens as Weibo users juxtaposed images of Qatari soccer fans rejoicing with Chinese health workers donning hazmat suits. Russia’s senior envoy to Beijing stated this week that President Xi Jinping would travel there in 2023.

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By 2040, Bangladesh’s GDP is on course to reach one trillion dollars

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According to Boston Consulting Group, Bangladesh is on track to have a $1 trillion economy by 2040 because to consumer confidence, innovation in growing economic sectors, and a youthful, motivated workforce.

According to a BCG analysis issued on Friday, the South Asian country has beaten rivals including India, Indonesia, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Thailand with average annual growth of 6.4% between 2016 and 2021.

The domestic consumer market in Bangladesh is expected to grow to be the ninth-largest in the world.

The survey also said that between 2020 and 2025, a quickly growing middle class and wealthy class are expected to increase significantly, with a thriving gig economy supporting a workforce where the median age is just 28.

According to BCG, “the nation could have easily been eclipsed by its neighbour to the northeast, China, or its continental relative to the west, India, yet Bangladesh stands strong in this area of economic powerhouses.”

In 2015, Bangladesh moved up the income scale from poor to lower-middle income. Bangladesh’s GDP per capita is already larger than its neighbour, even though it is five years later than India. By 2031, the country hopes to reach upper middle income status.

Problems still exist. According to BCG, current liquidity concerns, foreign exchange volatility, and inflationary pressures might temporarily limit GDP. However, Bangladesh has made steps to set up its $416 billion economy for a prosperous few decades, provided it keeps its annual growth rate around 5%.

57% of respondents to a BCG study “continue to feel that the next generation would have better lifestyles than themselves, especially as the country moves to a skill-based economy,” according to the analysis of the survey results.

Although the economy is expected to see some near-term turbulence, the research stated that it is certain that this highly resilient economy will continue to exhibit solid growth over the long run.

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Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif chooses Asim Munir in Pakistan

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Lieutenant General Asim Munir, a former head of the ISI, has been chosen by Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif to lead Pakistan’s army. General Qamar Jawed Bajwa, the current commander, will step down on November 29 after obtaining a three-year extension. The Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee’s chairman has also been chosen, Lt. Gen. Sahir Shamshad Mirza (CJCSC).

The announcement was made on Twitter by Marriyum Aurangzeb, minister of information. “Using constitutional power, Pakistan’s Prime Minister, Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif, has decided to propose Lt. Gen. Sahir Shamshad Mirza as Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and Lt. Gen. Syed Asim Munir as Chief of the Army Staff,” said Aurangzeb on Twitter. The President of Pakistan has received an overview of this.

Minutes after the news broke, Defense Minister Khawaja Asif assured the media that the situation had been handled in line with the law and the Constitution. He emphasised that in order to prevent a “controversy,” president Arif Alvi should take the premier’s advice. He expressed the hope that President Arif Alvi will support the recommendations of the administration and refrain from making the selections “controversial.”

After getting a summary, President Arif Alvi would talk about the situation with former Prime Minister Imran Khan, according to Khawaja Asif. President Alvi is a founder member of Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf, Imran Khan’s political party (PTI). The present administration worries that he would not agree with the choice of the new army chief.

President Arif Alvi, according to Imran Khan, would contact him before appointing a new army commander. The president will “absolutely” discuss the position with him, he had earlier stated. “I and the president of Pakistan will act in accordance with the Constitution and laws when the moment comes,” he declared.

Asim Munir, who is he?

The Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) was led by Lt Gen Asim Munir when tensions between India and Pakistan reached their zenith in February 2019. A gathering organised by Imran Khan has been scheduled for November 26 in Rawalpindi, two days before General Bajwa hands the reins over to the next Army head. When tensions between India and Pakistan reached their peak following the Pulwama terror attack in February 2019, which resulted in the deaths of 40 CRPF members, he served as the director of the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI).

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