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Experts missed a Modi-Yogi storm

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The assembly election results would be shocking if you had been following Uttar Pradesh’s election campaign, listening to experts, and accepting their projections. Even if exit polls were ignored, most experts, including journalists, sensed a desire for ‘badlav’ (change) in Uttar Pradesh.

Akhilesh Yadav, the president of the Samajwadi Party, embodied this transformation. They said that an increasing number of voters were dissatisfied with the Yogi Adityanath administration.

For Thakurs or Rajputs, there was “caste discrimination” mandated by various forms of “favouritism.” The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJPprimary )’s voters, Brahmins, were “angry” by their claimed marginalisation and meetings with criminals connected to the case.

The Baniyas, a BJP vote bank, were alleged to be complaining about political barriers in the genuine ‘ease of doing business,’ as well as raids on some of their community’s members, due to the Yogi Adityanath government’s stress on openness.

Farmers, notably those from the Jat community, we’re determined to teach the BJP a lesson by enacting three farm reform legislation and allowing thousands of demonstrators to remain on the Delhi boundary for over a year.

Mulayam Singh Yadav’s son, Akhilesh Yadav, had patched up with his once-powerful uncle Shivpal Yadav, and the Yadavs were returning to the Samajwadi Party. With a vote share of 25-30%, Muslims and Yadavs created a strong voting block for the Samajwadi Party.

The new wave of the Covid-19 outbreak, which began in Uttar Pradesh in 2021, made international headlines, with images of sand-covered bodies on the banks and dead bodies floating in the Ganga capturing attention and provoking strong emotions. Experts believe it is a compelling cause for the UP Assembly election to be rescheduled.

That, however, did not occur. A strong majority was obtained by the BJP-led alliance. Its representation in the Uttar Pradesh Assembly has been reduced. To be fair, the BJP had won more than three-quarters of the seats in the 403-member House of Representatives in 2017. The BJP’s score was supposed to fall in 2022, according to democracy’s logic.

Experts have failed to predict a Modi-Yogi wave for the second time in a row. Experts saw Rahul Gandhi’s coming of age in the 2019 Lok Sabha election, as well as a strong nationwide popular mood against the Narendra Modi government.

Rahul Gandhi had focused his campaign on the alleged corruption in the Rafale deal, labelling Modi a “thief.” Rahul Gandhi even pledged a social justice programme that will provide 5 crore low-income families with a cash transfer of Rs 72,000 per year. It was considered a game-changer.

However, the BJP received a larger mandate than in 2014 thanks to Modi’s campaign. In the Lok Sabha election, the party won over 300 seats. Experts failed to see a bigger ‘Modi Wave’ than the one that occurred in 2014.

Despite two of the state’s largest parties teaming forces with the explicit purpose of preventing the BJP and the Modi-Yogi wave, the BJP won 64 of 80 Lok Sabha seats in Uttar Pradesh, nine fewer than in 2014.

The same thing happened in the 2022 UP Assembly election. The BJP won a strong victory, although not as big as in 2017. The Modi-Yogi wave, which continues to define the Uttar Pradesh election, was missed by experts.

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Rising Air Pollution in Navi Mumbai Raises Concerns Over Civic Action

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AQI Crosses 100 Amid Calls for Better Monitoring, Dust Control and Stricter Checks on Industrial Emissions.

The Concern

Navi Mumbai is witnessing a rise in air pollution, with the Air Quality Index (AQI) remaining above 100, raising concerns among residents and environmental activists.

According to a report, the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) recorded the city’s AQI at 103, while some private monitoring platforms reported readings above 130. The difference has prompted activists to demand greater transparency in air-quality monitoring. Environmentalists have identified construction activities, industrial emissions, vehicular traffic, road dust and rapid redevelopment as possible contributors to the worsening air quality. Residents have also expressed concerns about the impact of pollution on their health.

C.A. Vishnu Joshi, convenor of Parsik Greens, called for public access to air-quality data and monitoring records. Kapithra Kannapiran, founder of Owe Earth, stressed the need for additional monitoring stations, stricter checks on industrial emissions and stronger enforcement of pollution-control rules. Environmental activists have also highlighted the importance of protecting green spaces and promoting urban forests and green rooftops to help improve air quality.

Meanwhile, a Navi Mumbai Municipal Corporation (NMMC) official said the civic body was coordinating with the Maharashtra Pollution Control Board (MPCB). Measures include street cleaning, dust control and inspections of industrial units. However, questions remain over the differing AQI readings and the effectiveness of existing pollution-control measures. Residents and environmental groups are calling for more transparent monitoring and stronger action to address the city’s growing air-pollution problem.

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Navi Mumbai APMC Trader Arrested in Rs 44 Crore Customs Duty Evasion Case

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Investigators Suspect Undervaluation of Imported Walnuts, Multiple Firms Under Scanner.

The Arrest

A trader associated with the Navi Mumbai Agricultural Produce Market Committee (APMC), Deepak Kakadiya, has been arrested in connection with an alleged customs duty evasion case involving imported walnuts. According to the report, investigators suspect that importers undervalued walnuts brought from Chile to reduce their customs duty payments. The alleged fraud is estimated to have caused a loss of around Rs 44 crore in customs revenue.

The investigation has brought Deepak Trading Company and four other firms under scrutiny. Officials suspect that some businesses may have been registered in the names of employees to hide the identities of the people who were actually controlling their operations. Investigators are also examining a separate alleged customs duty fraud involving approximately Rs 41 crore. In that case, importers reportedly claimed duty benefits by falsely declaring walnuts as originating from Afghanistan.

The case has attracted attention following earlier arrests and legal proceedings involving members of the Kakadiya family. Authorities are investigating the financial transactions and the alleged roles of the individuals and companies connected to the case. The investigation is ongoing, and further details are expected as authorities examine the suspected irregularities. The allegations have not yet been established in court, and the accused are presumed innocent unless proven guilty.

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Uran to Face Water Cuts Twice a Week from October 27 as Ransai Dam Levels Decline

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Reduced rainfall and falling dam levels prompt authorities to suspend water supply on Tuesdays and Fridays.

The Water Cut

Uran in Navi Mumbai will face water cuts twice a week from October 27 due to declining water levels in Ransai Dam and insufficient rainfall. The decision is expected to affect Uran town, nearby villages and industrial areas that depend on the dam for their water supply.

Under the revised schedule, water supply will be suspended every Tuesday and Friday. The move comes amid growing concerns over the availability of water as dam levels continue to fall. Ransai Dam is a major source of water for Uran and its surrounding areas. The shortage has already affected several villages, including areas around Chanje and Kegaon. Residents in some locations have reportedly been receiving water for only around 30 minutes once every 15 days, making it difficult to manage their daily requirements.

The state government had also announced a 10 per cent water cut from October 16 amid concerns over water availability. Authorities have appealed to residents to use water carefully and avoid wastage. The shortage has also raised concerns among local residents and representatives about water management and delays in infrastructure projects.

With water levels continuing to decline, the administration faces the challenge of managing available supplies and ensuring that households, villages and industrial establishments receive adequate water. Residents have been urged to conserve water and prepare for the scheduled interruptions in supply.

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